Non-Sport Update's Card Talk
Hits and Misses of 2025

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May 23, 2025, 11:11 AM
David R
Hits and Misses of 2025
They are predicting maybe 150 M for Lilo & Stitch this weekend and 85 M for Mission Impossible (domestic gross for both). We will see.
May 23, 2025, 03:19 PM
mykdude
quote:
Originally posted by David R:
They are predicting maybe 150 M for Lilo & Stitch this weekend and 85 M for Mission Impossible (domestic gross for both). We will see.


The bigger story is budgets...MI8 is roughly $400M and Lilo & Stitch is $100M

Of course Mission Impossible has a bunch more international potential.

____________________
Just because it's rare doesn't mean it's valuable.
May 23, 2025, 03:20 PM
mykdude
quote:
Originally posted by Tommy C:
Tron 3 should be interesting, although not sure it will be a big hit.



Saw the trailer and it looks fantastic!

____________________
Just because it's rare doesn't mean it's valuable.
May 25, 2025, 12:16 AM
catskilleagle
I want to see "Superman" in a theater. I haven't seen last year's "MI" yet so I want to see that before this year's. My brother says the Wes Anderson movie looks good. I havent seen all of his but I've liked all the ones I've seen.



quote:
Originally posted by chesspieceface:

From the rest of the list, I'll see the "Mission Impossible" streaming and the Jurassic Park probably not at all, but I'll definitely go to the movies for "Superman", "Fantastic Four", "Thunderbolts", and the new Paul Thomas Anderson and Ari Aster films (and maybe "The Phoenician Scheme" from Wes Anderson).

May 25, 2025, 09:11 AM
Tommy C
Now they are saying it might be about 180 M for Lilo and Stitch this 4 day weekend but Mission Impossible only about 77 M.
May 25, 2025, 04:23 PM
mykdude
Lilo & Stitch $341M world wide.....instant hit.

Mission Impossible world wide at $204M...respectable but still a long way to go to recover the massive production budget.

Final Destination Bloodlines is a hit nearly doubling its budget domestically with another $100M international.

Sinners is another hit passing its budget by $160M domestic with another $80M international.

Thunderbolts is roughly $100M short of break even.

Accountant 2 is big Miss.

____________________
Just because it's rare doesn't mean it's valuable.
May 27, 2025, 09:16 AM
Tommy C
The Top 5 of 2025 domestically so far:

(1) Minecraft (421 M)
(2) Sinners (259 M)
(3) Captain America (200 M)
(4) Lilo & Stitch (183 M)
(5) Thunderbolts (174 M)

No doubt that Lilo will be # 2 by early June.

Mission Impossible will likely make it to # 6 this coming weekend. Will it break 200 M ?
May 29, 2025, 11:17 AM
Tommy C
Lilo & Stitch will hit 200 M domestically by tomorrow.

Mission Impossible only up to 86 M as we speak.
June 01, 2025, 11:46 AM
David R
Karate Kid made only 20 M this weekend
June 01, 2025, 04:33 PM
mykdude
quote:
Originally posted by David R:
Karate Kid made only 20 M this weekend


Fortunately made on a modest budget of $45M....it did break $47M world wide. It may not earn it's money back in the theater but streaming should give it a boost.

____________________
Just because it's rare doesn't mean it's valuable.
June 02, 2025, 09:33 AM
Tommy C
The new Top 5 domestically:

(1) Minecraft (422 M)
(2) Lilo & Stitch (280 M)
(3) Sinners (261 M)
(4) Captain America (200 M)
(5) Thunderbolts (181 M)


Mission Impossible is struggling at 122 M. It might make less than the last one, which grossed 172 M in 2023 and was considered to be a disappointment.
June 04, 2025, 12:45 PM
David R
The John Wick spinoff "Ballerina" comes out Friday

Will it be like the Furiosa (the Mad Max spinoff) last summer, which flopped ?
June 05, 2025, 09:54 AM
Ted Dastick Jr.
quote:
Originally posted by David R:
The John Wick spinoff "Ballerina" comes out Friday

Will it be like the Furiosa (the Mad Max spinoff) last summer, which flopped ?

I don't know his level of involvement, but they're using Keanu on a lot of promo material. That should be a pretty big draw.
June 09, 2025, 11:13 AM
Tommy C
Ballerina debuted at only 25 M this weekend.

Mission Impossible slowing down quickly. Only up to 149 M, while the last one made it to 172 M.

Thunderbolts got up to 186 M, about 14 M less than Captain America.
June 12, 2025, 10:40 AM
Tommy C
Here is how the 8 Mission Impossible films rank in terms of domestic grosses:

MI 1 (1996) 180 M

MI 2 (2000) 215 M

MI 3 (2006) 134 M

MI: Ghost Protocol (2011) 209 M

MI: Rogue Nation (2015) 195 M

MI: Fallout (2018) 220 M

MI: Dead Reckoning (2023) 172 M

MI: Final Reckoning (2025) 153 M
June 12, 2025, 11:33 AM
chesspieceface
With how much money those cost to produce, it's hard to imagine they'd keep making them without the approx. 3 billion they've tacked on in international box office, as well as TV rights, digital purchases, and for at least the first half of them, pretty good home media sales. I'm pretty sure they'll make at least one more of them. MI: The Double, Extra, Super Final Reckoning (No, Really!)

____________________
Everywhere around this burg they're running out of verbs, adverbs, and adjectives. Everywhere around this town, they're running out of nouns.
June 12, 2025, 06:48 PM
Tommy C
Tom Cruise said this is definitely his last one. He will be 63 this year.
June 13, 2025, 09:48 AM
David R
Mission Impossible 8 has made 450 M worldwide so far, but it cost at least 400 M (if not way more) to make.

The last one in 2023 grossed about 571 M worldwide.
June 14, 2025, 09:50 AM
Tommy C
Just read an article on how Disney lost alot of money on Thunderbolts which only grossed 378 M worldwide despite very good reviews. They may now focus on big movies only like Avengers and Spider Man which are guaranteed to make money.
June 14, 2025, 05:41 PM
chesspieceface
quote:
Originally posted by Tommy C:
Tom Cruise said this is definitely his last one. He will be 63 this year.


It's said the first person who will live to 150 years old has already been born. I believe Tom Cruise is that person. Expect at least 3 more of these.

____________________
Everywhere around this burg they're running out of verbs, adverbs, and adjectives. Everywhere around this town, they're running out of nouns.