Don't have mine yet, but Topps updated their site with the odds & I thought it was more appropriate in the breakdown area:

THE LORD OF THE RINGS - EVOLUTION SKETCH ARTIST LIST

INDIVIDUAL SKETCH ARTIST ODDS

APPROXIMATE ODDS PER PACK OF FINDING SPECIAL INSERT CARDS:
SKETCH CARDS OVERALL – 1:14

LEVEL A - 1:32
Christian Della Vecchia
Davide Fabbri
Howard Shum
James Hodgkins
Otis Frampton
Paul Gutierrez
Randy Martinez
Thomas Hodges

LEVEL B - 1:346
Brent Woodside

LEVEL C - 1:70
Amy Pronovost
Brian Rood
Cat Staggs
Dan Parsons
Jake Myler
Robert Teranishi
Tom Mandrake

LEVEL D - 1:111
Cynthia Cummens
Dan Norton
Jeff Chandler
John McCrea
Joseph Booth
Ray Dillion
Sarah Wilkinson

LEVEL E - 1:93
Allison Sohn
Dave Dorman
David Rabbitte
Dennis Budd
Grant Gould
Juan Carlos Ramos
Mary Mitchell
Michael Duron
Rafael Kayanan
Renea De Liz
Russell Walks
Scott Erwert
William O’Neill

LEVEL F - 1:209
Chris Eliopoulos
Gabriel Hernandez
Jan Duursenna
Jeff Zapata
Joe Corroney
Justin Chung
Matt Bush
Mike Lilly
Monte Moore
Rich Molinelli
Ryan Benjamin

This message has been edited. Last edited by: tialessa,

So if I am reading this right.

You have your NORMAL Scetch Card that comes 1 in every 14 Packs.

Then you have LEVEL A that comes 1 in every 32 Sketch Cards? Not Packs

THen you have Level B that comes 1 in every 347 Sketch cards

Then Level C that comes 1 in every 70 sketch cards and so on?

Correct?

I presume it means that for every 32 packs you open you should get a level A of whichever artist.

almost.
There is no Normal sketch.
You get 1 sketch every 14 packs.
So, you will get a sketch every 14 packs but it will be from one of the different levels.

Yes - so for every 32 packs you should receive one from level A, for every 209 packs you should get an artist from the top level - F or whatever.

Either way - every 14 packs on average you hit the jackpot - which should mean no 'dud' boxes ;D

I'm really glad I got a case of this now. A little simple math-

8 boxes at 24 packs per box= 192 packs
1 sketch per 14 packs divided into 192 packs = 13.71 sketches per case, way better than the 1 per box I was expecting.

The odds with the artists. You need to multiple the ratio by the number of artists in each level. So this is what the true odds are:

Level A: 1:256
Level B: 1:346
Level C: 1:490
Level D: 1:777
Level E: 1:1209
Level F: 1:2299

so to get one of each sketch by the odds you would have to open 225 boxes (over 28 cases)???

Or just buy most of them from that auction site.

Excellent it runs from Group A (common) to Group F (rare). Its the opposite to Star Wars ROTS. Do you think Topps try to confuse the punters on purpose?

Where are my boxes? How long have I got to wait. I think I am too impatient sometimes.

Mine will ship tomorrow. I really want a Kayanan sketch.

quote:

Originally posted by Raj:
Mine will ship tomorrow. I really want a Kayanan sketch.

Me too, but they work out to 1:6 cases so my odds are only 1:6.

quote:

Originally posted by Incarnadine:

quote:

Originally posted by Raj:
Mine will ship tomorrow. I really want a Kayanan sketch.

Me too, but they work out to 1:6 cases so my odds are only 1:6.

And I've only got 3 boxes on order.

quote:

Originally posted by Incarnadine:

quote:

Originally posted by Raj:
Mine will ship tomorrow. I really want a Kayanan sketch.

Me too, but they work out to 1:6 cases so my odds are only 1:6.

As long as I don't get that one particular artist whose work I'm really not fond of, I'll be happy

From what I have seen so far on that auction site it seems to me that the particular artist spends more time on drawing his signature than the actual sketch!

Is anyone but me a little concerned about the quality of the majority of sketches showing up on that auction site now? After seeing the great sketches shown on this site over the past month, I had forgotten that far greater numbers of poor sketches were available.

quote:

Originally posted by CardFan:
Is anyone but me a little concerned about the quality of the majority of sketches showing up on that auction site now? After seeing the great sketches shown on this site over the past month, I had forgotten that far greater numbers of poor sketches were available.

yeah, some of them are raggity, but you get 2 sketchs a box. Id rather have 2 rags then then 1. It still seems like a good box break . getting my boxes in the mail tommorow. im hoping....Russell Walks...Russell Walks...

Okay, since you all can't wait I thought I would share my case break.

I included the number of sketch cards per artist in parentheses.

Box 1:

Evolution A
Aragorn, Arwen, Bilbo, Boromir, Haldir, Witch-King

Evolution B
Elrond, Eomer

Stained Glass
Aragorn, Frodo, Gandalf, Sam

Sketch Card
Paul Gutierrez (1006) - Uruk-Hai?



Box 2:

Evolution A
Bilbo, Boromir, Elrond, Eomer, Eowyn, Faramir

Evolution B
Aragorn, Theoden

Stained Glass
Bilbo, Gimli, Legolas, Pippin

Sketch Card
Randy Martinez (1000) - Gimli?



Box 3:

Evolution A
Eowyn, Faramir, Frodo, Galadriel, Gandalf, Legolas

Evolution B
Aragorn, Theoden

Stained Glass
Boromir, Gandalf, Merry, Sam

Sketch Cards
Brent Woodside (1000) - ??


Christian Dalla Vecchia (???) - ??



Box 4:

Evolution A
Aragorn, Arwen, Bilbo, Boromir, Elrond, Eomer

Evolution B
Gandalf, Sam

Stained Glass
Aragorn, Frodo, Legolas, Pippin

Sketch Cards
Howard Shum (1000) - Legolas


Dan Parsons (500) - Eowyn



Box 5:

Evolution A
Lurtz, Merry, Pippin, Sam, Sauron, Theoden

Evolution B
Arwen, Bilbo

Stained Glass
Bilbo, Gimli, Legolas, Pippin

Sketch Cards
Mary Mitchell (???) - Elrond?


Robert Teranishi (???) - ?? (ink)



Box 6:

Evolution A
Gandalf, Haldir, Legolas, Lurtz, Merry, Pippin

Evolution B
Frodo, Galadriel

Stained Glass
Aragorn, Frodo, Legolas, Pippin

Sketch Cards
Thomas Hodges (1006) - ??


Juan Carlos Ramos (200) - Aragorn's horse?



Box 7:

Evolution A
Elrond, Eomer, Eowyn, Faramir, Frodo, Galadriel

Evolution B
Eowyn, Faramir

Stained Glass
Bilbo, Boromir, Gimli, Merry

Sketch Cards
John McCrea (400) - Gandalf (ink)


James Hodgkins (1000) - Arwen? (ink, color)



Box 8:

Evolution A
Aragorn, Arwen, Sam, Sauron, Theoden, Witch-King

Evolution B
Gandalf, Sam

Stained Glass
Boromir, Gandalf, Merry, Sam

Sketch Cards
Amy Pronovost (506) - Gimli (color)


Ray Dillon (306) - Gollum



Overall... a really, really, REALLY fun case, especially for the price.

I'm already debating on getting another, as I think the prices will rise one people realize most boxes will have 2 sketch cards.

Good luck on all your breaks!

I really like your Mary Mitchell.

Thanks for posting you your break down!

I should have my LOTR today or tomorrow.

Looking at the Juan Carlos Ramos, it's too bad you only get half the horses face and you don't get a chance to see the riders face. It would have been a huge difference if the artist would have pulled back the scene to have captured both faces. But that's just me being picky.